I have been arguing for a few years that Bush could be the next Truman and recently military historian Victor D. Hanson has made the same argument. Hanson wrote:
"We are in one of the longest presidential campaigns in modern memory — and haven't even started focusing on the general election."
"It's been enough to drive most of us mad, but if there's one person in particular suffering the most, it may be President Bush."
"It's been noted here before that we have not had an election since 1952 in which an incumbent president or vice president was not running in at least partial defense of an existing administration's record."
"That means Bush is not just a lame duck but an easy target for all three current candidates — none of whom have any investment in the president's legacy."
"Consider that the last president in a similar position was Harry Truman. He left office with an approval rating in the 20s, and it took years before historians revised the standard negative and mostly unfair view of him."
"When there is no incumbent in a long race, almost everything of the last four years becomes fair and uncontested game. In 2004, Bush defended his record for months on the stump; now it has become almost second nature for all three candidates to denounce it daily."
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